Sage Future Inc

Nonprofit profile at a glance

EIN
881886544
IRS 990 coverage
2022–2025
Forms available
Form 990 2025
Location
Dover, DE, USA
Phone
3024007268
Rating
58
Verdict
MIXED
Rating confidence
Moderate
Sector
Education N.E.C.

Official website

Reported finances

Revenue
$2,302,548
Expenses
$956,073
Assets
$2,154,277
Liabilities
$0

Source: IRS Form 990. Selected filing: tax year 2025. Amounts in USD.

Leadership & pay

5 people listed

Highest reported compensation

  • Zachary Miller (Software Engineer): $175,000 total reported compensation
  • Adam Binksmith (Executive Dir.): $155,172 total reported compensation
  • Mikhail Yagudin (Director): $131,875 total reported compensation

Source: IRS Form 990. Selected filing: tax year 2025. Names and roles reflect this filing, not necessarily current officeholders.

Overview

Mission

Forecasting and improving the future.

What it reported doing in 2025

Epistemics We maintained our suite of forecasting training tools and resources on https://quantifiedintuitions.org and https://fatebook.io to help the public improve their forecasting abilities through feedback loops. We published new Estimation Games monthly. All our tools are freely available to all through our websites. We also pursued novel directions in this area, exploring how we can apply AI to improve people's decision-making processes, particularly as more advanced AI may lead to a crunch-time where high-stakes decisions must be taken rapidly under uncertainty. We aim to help key decision makers and the public make better informed decisions by applying AI. We researched the space and have prototyped some directions for tools in this direction.

Operating model

Revenue model
Donor-supported. 100% of the money available for current operations came from contributions and gifts.
Distribution model
Direct operator. The filing allocates 100% of reported program-service expenses outside its grant, affiliate-payment, and member-benefit lines. This expense classification does not rule out separately announced grant awards.

The verdict

MIXED - The filed numbers largely add up and program spending has grown recently. A relatively small share of available resources goes toward mission work and a relatively small share of voting board members are independent.

Rating breakdown

  • Financial Efficiency: 59
  • Transparency & Controls: 70
  • Accountability: 23
  • Sustainability: 73
  • Growth: 100

Detailed rating inputs

Financial Efficiency

  • Mission deployment rate: 35.6%; rating input score 36
  • Program expense ratio: 85.5%; rating input score 86
  • Fundraising efficiency: $124.79 raised per $1 spent on fundraising; rating input score 90; 90th percentile among comparable filings

Transparency & Controls

  • Consistency checks: 100%; rating input score 100; 63rd percentile among comparable filings
  • Pay-setting controls: 1 of 6 controls in place; rating input score 17
    • Compensation committee: Missing
    • Independent consultant: Missing
    • Other Form 990s reviewed: Missing
    • Written employment contract: Missing
    • Compensation survey or study: Missing
    • Board or committee approval: Pass
  • Foreign activity oversight: Limited
  • Grant itemization coverage: Limited
  • Major donor itemization: Yes; rating input score 100
  • Related-party transparency: Limited

Accountability

  • Independent voting board: 0%; rating input score 0; 4th percentile among comparable filings
  • Governance controls: 5 of 9 controls in place; rating input score 56
    • Conflict-of-interest policy: Pass
    • Whistleblower policy: Fail
    • Document-retention policy: Fail
    • CEO compensation review process: Pass
    • Other executive compensation review process: Pass
    • Form 990 shared with the board: Pass
    • Board meeting minutes documented: Pass
    • Audit committee oversight: Missing
    • Independent financial-statement audit: Fail

Sustainability

  • Operating margin: 58.5%; rating input score 93; 93rd percentile among comparable filings
  • Total-asset coverage ratio: 2.25; rating input score 61; 61st percentile among comparable filings
  • Liabilities to assets ratio: 0; rating input score 96; 96th percentile among comparable filings
  • Officer compensation ratio: 48.6%; rating input score 1; 1st percentile among comparable filings

Growth

  • Program expense growth: 52.7% per year; rating input score 100; 97th percentile among comparable filings
  • Revenue growth: 55.1% per year; rating input score 100; 98th percentile among comparable filings
  • Asset growth: 59.3% per year; rating input score 100; 98th percentile among comparable filings

Details

  • Where the money goes: 35.6% of revenue deployed · 85.5% of spending went to programs
  • Governance: 0 of 3 board members independent · 5 of 9 filing controls reported
  • Programs: 2 filed program accomplishments · $818K in reported program spending
  • Leadership: top reported pay $175K · 5 people listed · 1 of 6 pay-setting controls reported
  • Highest-paid contractors: 2 contractors listed · $243K reported
  • Consistency: 23 of 23 current checks pass
  • Schedules: 4 filed schedules · includes major donors and executive pay
  • Filing history: 4 filing years from 2022 to 2025
  • Contacts: How to reach this organization
  • Money network: 5 filed money-flow records
  • Related organizations: Filed and resolved organization relationships.
  • Grant readiness: Federal tax and exclusion status, award history, and grant-maker relationships.
  • People: Everyone the filings name, and which of them the filings identify by more than a name.

Key Signals

Signals prioritize questions for review. They are not findings of misconduct.

  • Moderate — Financial Efficiency: Mission deployment rate scored 36/100.
  • High — Accountability: Independent voting board scored 0/100.
  • Review — Accountability: Governance controls: 3 of 8 not reported.
  • High — Sustainability: Officer compensation ratio scored 1/100.